WHAT YOU WILL PRACTICE
Choose the next problem to investigate using evidence, access and existing alternatives.
Use criteria to expose assumptions
Compare problem frequency, consequence, access to customers and evidence of current spending or effort. A score is a prompt for discussion, not a prediction of business success. A high score with no real evidence is still a guess.
Include what customers already do
Alternatives include spreadsheets, agencies, internal tools, a competitor and doing nothing. Ask why switching would be worthwhile once migration, trust, learning and money are included.
Investigate the weakest important claim
If the problem seems painful but you cannot reach buyers, test access first. If buyers are easy to reach but do not spend time or money on the problem, investigate urgency. Choose the cheapest next piece of evidence.
IN PRACTICE · ORIGINAL EXAMPLE
Idea A has a large estimated market but no customer access. Idea B serves one type of bookkeeper you can interview this week. B may be the better learning experiment even if A sounds more impressive.
A weighted score cannot replace customer evidence. Do not quietly give your favourite idea generous ratings.